基于AHP-云模型的城市地下综合管廊运维风险评估

兰州理工大学学报 ›› 2025, Vol. 51 ›› Issue (4): 66-71.

基于AHP-云模型的城市地下综合管廊运维风险评估

凌晓^*, 汪霞, 郭凯

兰州理工大学石油化工学院, 甘肃兰州 730050

收稿日期:2023-05-29 出版日期:2025-08-28 发布日期:2025-09-05
通讯作者: 凌晓(1982-),男,山东济南人,博士,副教授.Email:lingxiao_lut@163.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金(52204074),甘肃省重点研发计划-工业类(22YF11GA316),甘肃省自然科学基金(21JR7RA221)

Risk assessment of urban underground integrated pipeline corridor operation and maintenance based on AHP-cloud model

LING Xiao, WANG Xia, GUO Kai

School of Petrochemical Engineering, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou 730050, China

Received:2023-05-29 Online:2025-08-28 Published:2025-09-05

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为保障城市地下综合管廊科学合理运行,考虑到运行维护期间的多层次性与复杂性,提出了一种结合层次分析法(AHP)和云模型理论的多维风险分析模型.采用工作分解结构法建立城市地下综合管廊多层次评价指标体系;根据AHP计算确定各风险因素层的权重;采用正向发生器和逆向发生器生成评价标准云和综合评价云,对比获得风险分析结果.结果表明:管廊本体对于运行维护期间正常运行的影响较大,在子准测层中法律法规不健全和管廊本体的结构受破坏所占权重较大.

关键词: 综合管廊, 运行维护, AHP-云模型, 风险评估

Abstract: To ensure the scientific and reasonable operation of an urban underground integrated pipe gallery, a multi-dimensional risk analysis model combining the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and cloud model theory was proposed, considering the multi-level and complexity during operation and maintenance. The multi-level evaluation index system of the urban underground integrated pipeline corridor is established by the method of work decomposition structure. The AHP is employed to calculate the weight of each risk factor layer. Forward and backward generators are utilized to create evaluation standard clouds and a comprehensive evaluation cloud, which are then compared to obtain risk analysis results. The results show that the corridor body has a great influence on normal operation during the operation and maintenance period. Within the sub-test layer, the lack of legal regulations and the damage to the tunnel body structure have a higher weight.

Key words: integrated pipe gallery, operation and maintenance, AHP-cloud model, risk assessment

中图分类号:

X937

凌晓, 汪霞, 郭凯. 基于AHP-云模型的城市地下综合管廊运维风险评估[J]. 兰州理工大学学报, 2025, 51(4): 66-71.

LING Xiao, WANG Xia, GUO Kai. Risk assessment of urban underground integrated pipeline corridor operation and maintenance based on AHP-cloud model[J]. Journal of Lanzhou University of Technology, 2025, 51(4): 66-71.

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